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Distribution Future Energy Scenarios

The Distribution Future Energy Scenarios outline the range of credible futures for the growth of the distribution network. Broadly aligning with the National Grid Future Energy Scenarios, these encompass the growth of demand, storage and distributed generation, also low carbon technologies such as Electric Vehicles and Heat Pumps. We work with Regen to create the Distribution Future Energy Scenarios for each licence area on a two year rolling cycle. The Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) map is a visual representation of the scenario projections which WPD use for long term strategic network planning. This map displays the scenario projection at an Electricity Supply Area (ESA) and Local Authority level.


Main points to note regarding the map are:

  • Distribution Future Energy Scenarios are created at an Electricity Supply Area (ESA) level, where each ESA represents a block of demand and generation as visible from the Subtransmission network. As a result, this map does not contain any projections for customers which are connected at 66kV or 132kV. 
  • To reallocate the DFES projections to a Local Authority level, the Ordnance Survey dataset of Local Authorities was overlaid onto a map of the geographic Electricity Supply Areas. For each ESA, the proportion of growth was allocated according to the proportional split of land area of each intersecting Local Authority.
  • This map contains the most up to date DFES projections for each licence area. Please note that these projections follow different iterations of the Future Energy Scenarios framework.
  • The Local Authority and Electricity Supply Area totals only consider the area supplied by the filtered Western Power Distribution licence area, it does not include projections outside of the filtered WPD licence area boundary.

Distribution Future Energy Scenarios Map

The Distribution Future Energy Scenarios outline the range of credible futures for the growth of the distribution network. Broadly aligning with the National Grid Future Energy Scenarios, these encompass the growth of demand, storage and distributed generation, also low carbon technologies such as Electric Vehicles and Heat Pumps.

View map