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Distribution Future Energy Scenarios

Update for 2021: Bespoke reports for each Local Authority are now available to view on the DFES map. To download all of the reports from a single source please click here.

The Distribution Future Energy Scenarios outline the range of credible futures for the growth of the distribution network. Broadly aligning with the National Grid Future Energy Scenarios, these encompass the growth of demand, storage and distributed generation, also low carbon technologies such as Electric Vehicles and Heat Pumps. We work with Regen to create the Distribution Future Energy Scenarios for each licence area on a two year rolling cycle. The Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) map is a visual representation of the scenario projections which WPD use for long term strategic network planning. This map displays the scenario projection at an Electricity Supply Area (ESA) and Local Authority level.

These studies have been completed for 2020 to use scenarios which are compliant with the Net Zero 2050 targets as set by UK government.

Main points to note regarding the map are:

  • Distribution Future Energy Scenarios aggregated to an Electricity Supply Area (ESA) level represent the geographical area supplied by a Primary Substation (which contains WPD-owned distribution substations) providing supplies at a voltage below 33 kV. As a result, when viewed at an ESA level this map does not include customers connected at 33kV and above.
  • Distribution Future Energy Scenarios aggregated to an Local Authority level represent all customers connected to the WPD network within the geographic area of a Local Authority. As a result, this includes customers connected at all voltage levels.
  • The Local Authority and Electricity Supply Area totals only consider the area supplied by the filtered Western Power Distribution licence area, it does not include projections outside of the filtered WPD licence area boundary.

Included below are some of the acronyms used in the DFES map explained:

  • CCGT: Combined Cycle Gas Turbine
  • CHP: Combined Heat and Power
  • EV: Electric Vehicle
  • OCGT: Open Cycle Gas Turbine

Distribution Future Energy Scenarios Map

The Distribution Future Energy Scenarios outline the range of credible futures for the growth of the distribution network. Broadly aligning with the National Grid Future Energy Scenarios, these encompass the growth of demand, storage and distributed generation, also low carbon technologies such as Electric Vehicles and Heat Pumps.

View map