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Distribution Future Energy Scenarios

The Distribution Future Energy Scenarios outline the range of credible futures for the growth of the distribution network. Broadly aligning with the National Grid Future Energy Scenarios, these encompass the growth of demand, storage and distributed generation, also low carbon technologies such as Electric Vehicles and Heat Pumps.

We work with Regen to create the Distribution Future Energy Scenarios for each licence area on a two year rolling cycle. We are currently on Round 2 of our DFES studies; please see the table below for the latest and upcoming areas for study.

South WestSouth WalesEast MidlandsWest Midlands
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Next area to study
Q3/Q4 2019

The uncertainty in the future path of demand and generation growth, coupled with the significant changes in energy system operation outlines the need for coordination if growth is to be achieved economically. The scenario projections are mapped geographically to our network using local knowledge and expertise to derive a regionally specific outlook for each of our licence areas. The outputs of the DFES studies are used in our Strategic Investment Options: Shaping Subtransmission studies and our flexibility analysis.

For each licence area we hold an event to disseminate information on our Distribution Future Energy Scenarios to local stakeholders. This is followed by a DFES report which is published at the same time as the Strategic Investment Options report. Please use the links on this page for each licence area to access the latest DFES information and an archive of previous DFES projects.

We have made our DFES projections available to view on our DFES map, which allows stakeholders to explore how we spatially allocate growth of different technologies across our licence areas. The map can be found here

    • Below is an archive of the latest and previous DFES studies for the South West licence area. A link to the accompanying South West Shaping Subtransmission page can be found here.

      Round 2

      DFES OutputLink to information 
      Stakeholder Engagement Event          

      5th December 2017
      Slides available here                     

      Report DFES South West 2018


      Round 1

      DFES OutputLink to information 
      Stakeholder Engagement Event         

      3rd February 2016                        
      Slides available here                      

      Report DFES South West 2016

       

    • Below is an archive of the latest and previous DFES studies for the South Wales licence area. A link to the accompanying South Wales Shaping Subtransmission page can be found here.

      Round 2

      DFES OutputLink to information 
      Stakeholder Engagement Event          

      6th June 2018
      Slides available here                     

      Report DFES South Wales 2019


      Round 1

      DFES OutputLink to information 
      Stakeholder Engagement Event         

      15th June 2016                        
      Slides available here                      

      Report DFES South Wales 2016

       

    • Below is an archive of the latest and previous DFES studies for the East Midlands licence area. A link to the accompanying East Midlands Shaping Subtransmission page can be found here.

      the accompanying South Wales Shaping Subtransmission page can be found here.

      Round 2

      DFES OutputLink to information 
      Stakeholder Engagement Event          

      13th December 2018 
      Slides available here                  

      Report DFES East Midlands 2019

       

      Round 1

      DFES OutputLink to information 
      Stakeholder Engagement Event          

      7th December 2016
      Slides available here     

      30th March 2017 
      Slides available here:
      Strategic Investment Options
      Regen slides                            

      Report DFES East Midlands 2017
    • Below is an archive of the latest and previous DFES studies for the West Midlands licence area. A link to the accompanying West Midlands Shaping Subtransmission page can be found here.

      Round 2

      DFES OutputLink to information 
      Stakeholder Engagement Event          

      6th June 2019
      Slides available here                     

      Report TBC

       

      Round 1

      DFES OutputLink to information 
      Stakeholder Engagement Event          

      23rd May 2017
      Slides available here                     

      Report DFES West Midlands 2017